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WP5 Climate change vulnerability of livestock systems.
Leader Jean-Francois Soussana (INRA)

Background and aims

In this workpackage we will assess the vulnerability of livestock systems to climate change and extreme events in Europe and in study regions of Africa and Latin America. Biophysical vulnerability can be estimated from the level of climate change induced damages taking into account the stochastic nature of climatic risks. Across regions and production systems, socio-economical climate change vulnerability is affected by a number of factors, including access to natural resources, to production means, to technologies and to markets.The modelling framework developed in Component 1 provides for the first time an integrated view of biophysical and socio-economical impacts of climate change on livestock systems. The overall objective of WP5 is to map the risks of failures of pastures, feed crops and livestock systems under increased climate variability and climate change.

Major Outcomes

  • An assessment of the biophysical vulnerability of pastures, feed crops and livestock systems to climate change and extreme events by agro-ecological region
  • Probabilities of reduction in production factors and baseline and stabilization scenario for study regions plus GHG emissions
  • Map climate change induced risks of failure and new opportunities for livestock systems.

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